Publications
Abstracts for research papers, reports, and commentaries that are supported in part or in full by the ABP or ABP Foundation or on which ABP staff serve as authors – and have been published in major journals – are provided below.
Background
Although pediatricians and family physicians are trained in the care of children, previous studies have revealed significant differences in the medical care and specialty referral patterns each provides. During the 1990s, several developments in the population and the health care system (eg, aging of the population and increases in Medicaid managed care) may have resulted in changes to the proportion of children seeking care from one or the other specialty.
Objective
To determine any changes in the proportion of office visits...
The continued demographic trend of the "aging of America" has many implications for U.S. society. Although their population has remained relatively constant, children are becoming a smaller proportion of the overall population. The rapidly changing age-related U.S. demographics raises issues we have not yet chosen to address. These changes have important implications for children and will become manifest in the financing of both public programs and private markets for health, education, and social services, whether or not specific political actions are taken. Investment in children's...
Objective
To describe the number and distribution of pediatricians per child nationally and on a state-by-state basis relative to the economic conditions within each state.
Study Design
Real inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (1996 dollars) was plotted against the number of all active physicians and pediatricians in the United States for all years data were available. GDP was then compared with the active number of pediatric medical physicians per child 0 to 14 years of age.
Results
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Objective
To develop a predictive model for projecting the pediatric workforce and retrospectively test its accuracy at different points in time over the past several decades.
Methods
We applied a modified version of the physician workforce trend model developed by Cooper et al. We first analyzed and tested the relationship between economic activity and the number of active pediatric medical physicians for several periods from 1963 to 2000. To project economic activity and population changes in the United States, we conducted linear...
The American Board of Pediatrics (ABP) has gathered workforce data for several decades, initially by using questionnaires administered in association with its various examinations and later through tracking of residents and fellows in training. In addition to providing the ABP with credentialing information on trainees who might apply for certification, the data collected reflect pediatric workforce trends in the United States and Canada that should be of interest to both the pediatric community and the health care field in general.
